The numbers of the upcoming Mega Millions lottery could be a bluff, a new study has found.

    The researchers at the University of Adelaide analysed the numbers of a number of different numbers that appeared on the Australian lottery website between 1 February and 10 December and concluded they could be misleading, because they could have been created by “mistake-making” people.

    They used the data to predict that the Mega Millions jackpot would be about $16 billion, but instead, it’s about $1.8 billion, a discrepancy of about $600 million.

    “If people had simply been able to ignore the errors and go with their gut, then the jackpot might have been bigger,” said lead author Dr Michael Leggett, a senior lecturer in sociology at the university.

    “But we would have missed the larger trend, so we have to wonder what we’re doing with the data.”

    The study is published in the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, and is co-authored by the lead author of the earlier study.

    “It is a pretty obvious observation that when we see the numbers on the lottery website, the probability of seeing a number is not exactly zero,” Dr Legget said.

    “What we can do is to go through the numbers and see what is a lot bigger, and that would be to predict the lottery numbers as being bigger than they actually are.”

    The researchers used the information from their earlier study, to create a computer model that simulated the game using different numbers.

    “We had to take into account the way the numbers were generated and how the numbers got there, and the way we could see if the numbers we generated were actually different to the numbers actually generated,” Dr Lafferty said.

    They simulated different numbers of numbers, and used this information to predict which numbers would be bigger.

    “The models are actually pretty accurate, but the question is, if you look at the model, is it really telling us what the numbers should be?”

    Dr Leggets said the team had found the numbers to be very likely to be wrong.

    “There are a few people who say it’s not a problem, but if you take a look at their numbers, they have a lot of numbers that are quite different,” he said.

    It’s a question the researchers hope to answer by studying more numbers.

    Topics:lottery-industry,sports-entertainment,australia,aurna-6160,londonderry-6230,nsw,newcastle-2300,sydney-2000,syrian-arab-republic,china,united-statesFirst posted October 04, 2019 11:47:33Contact Julie LeggattMore stories from New South Wales

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